Warhammer 40000

Chaos - Death Guard

Format

Faction

Time window

Number of weeks to include, most recent first.

Games played

Win rate

61.7%

Wins / draws / losses

57 / 7 / 34

Entries

Win rate trend

Before/after comparison

Before-Balance (Sept. 30, 2026) → Since-Balance (Sept. 30, 2026)

	Previous period	Current period	Delta
Win rate	55.6%	67.7%	12.1 pts
Representation	3.8%	5.7%	1.9 pts

Matchups

The estimated range (in brackets under the win rate on the faction table, in its own column on the matchup table) shows the interval the true win rate very likely falls within (95% confidence interval, Wilson score): the smaller the sample, the wider that range.

Opponent	Games played	Win rate	Estimated range
Imperium - Adeptus Custodes Small sample	8	43.8%	17.4% – 74.1%
Orks Small sample	7	64.3%	30.3% – 88.2%
Necrons Small sample	7	57.1%	25.0% – 84.2%
T'au Empire Small sample	7	35.7%	11.8% – 69.7%
Tyranids - Genestealers Cult Small sample	5	80.0%	37.6% – 96.4%
Tyranids Small sample	5	40.0%	11.8% – 76.9%
Imperium - Astra Militarum Small sample	5	40.0%	11.8% – 76.9%
Chaos - Chaos Knights Small sample	5	80.0%	37.6% – 96.4%
Chaos - World Eaters Small sample	5	80.0%	37.6% – 96.4%
Imperium - Imperial Knights Small sample	4	75.0%	30.1% – 95.4%
Imperium - Adeptus Mechanicus Small sample	4	25.0%	4.6% – 69.9%
Aeldari - Drukhari Small sample	4	100.0%	51.0% – 100.0%
Leagues of Votann Small sample	4	25.0%	4.6% – 69.9%
Chaos - Emperor's Children Small sample	3	66.7%	20.8% – 93.9%
Chaos - Chaos Space Marines Small sample	3	83.3%	31.0% – 98.2%
Chaos - Daemons Small sample	3	100.0%	43.9% – 100.0%
Aeldari - Craftworlds Small sample	3	83.3%	31.0% – 98.2%
Imperium - Adeptus Astartes - Raven Guard Small sample	2	50.0%	9.5% – 90.5%
Imperium - Adepta Sororitas Small sample	2	100.0%	34.2% – 100.0%
Imperium - Adeptus Astartes - Dark Angels Small sample	2	50.0%	9.5% – 90.5%
Imperium - Adeptus Astartes - Space Wolves Small sample	2	50.0%	9.5% – 90.5%
Imperium - Grey Knights Small sample	2	50.0%	9.5% – 90.5%
Imperium - Adeptus Astartes Small sample	1	50.0%	5.5% – 94.5%
Imperium - Adeptus Astartes - Ultramarines Small sample	1	50.0%	5.5% – 94.5%
Imperium - Adeptus Astartes - Salamanders Small sample	1	100.0%	20.7% – 100.0%
Imperium - Adeptus Astartes - Blood Angels Small sample	1	100.0%	20.7% – 100.0%
Imperium - Adeptus Astartes - Black Templars Small sample	1	100.0%	20.7% – 100.0%
Chaos - Thousand Sons Small sample	1	100.0%	20.7% – 100.0%

Methodology

Classification — Force disposition

Coverage: 94.9%

Value	Games played	Win rate
Take and hold	62	62.1%
Disruption	13	61.5%
Priority assets	8	75.0%
Purge the foe	7	57.1%
Reconnaissance	3	33.3%